The
social and economic gap between the world’s richest 1 billion people
and its poorest 1 billion has no historical precedent. Not only is this
gap wide, it is widening. The poorest billion are trapped at a
subsistence level and the richest billion are becoming wealthier with
each passing year. The economic gap can be seen in the contrasts in
nutrition, education, disease patterns, family size, and life
expectancy.
World Health
Organization (WHO) data indicate that roughly 1.2 billion people are
undernourished, underweight, and often hungry. At the same time,
roughly 1.2 billion people are overnourished and overweight, most of
them suffering from excessive caloric intake and exercise deprivation.
So while 1 billion people worry whether they will eat, another billion
should worry about eating too much.
Disease patterns also reflect the widening gap. The
billion poorest
suffer mostly from infectious diseases—malaria, tuberculosis,
dysentery, and AIDS. Malnutrition leaves infants and small children
even more vulnerable to such infectious diseases. Unsafe drinking water
takes a heavier toll on those with hunger-weakened immune systems,
resulting in millions of fatalities each year. In contrast, among the
billion at the top of the global economic scale, it is diseases related
to aging and lifestyle excesses, including obesity, smoking, diets rich
in fat and sugar, and exercise deprivation, that cause most deaths.
Education levels reflect the deep divide between
the rich and the poor.
In some industrial countries—for example, Canada and Japan—more than
half of all young people now graduate from college with either two- or
four-year degrees. By contrast, in developing countries 115 million
youngsters of elementary school age are not in school at all. Although
five centuries have passed since Gutenberg invented the printing press,
nearly 800 million adults are illiterate. Unable to read, they are also
excluded from the use of computers and the Internet. Without adult
literacy programs, their prospects of escaping poverty are not good.
Close to 1 billion people live in countries where
population size is
essentially stable. But another billion or so live in countries where
population is projected to double by 2050. The world’s illiterates are
concentrated in a handful of the more populous countries, most of them
in Asia and Africa. Prominent among these are India, China, Pakistan,
Bangladesh, Nigeria, Egypt, Indonesia, and Ethiopia, plus Brazil and
Mexico in Latin America. From 1990 to 2000, China and Indonesia made
large gains in reducing illiteracy. Other countries also making
meaningful progress were Mexico, Nigeria, and Brazil. However, in four
other populous countries—Bangladesh, Egypt, Pakistan, and India—the
number of illiterates increased.
Illiteracy and poverty tend to reinforce each other
because illiterate
women typically have much larger families than literate women do and
because each year of schooling raises earning power by 10–20 percent.
In Brazil, for instance, illiterate women have more than six children
each on average; literate women have only two. Additionally, illiterate
women are trapped by large families and minimal earning power.
To be poor often means to be sick. As with
illiteracy, poverty and ill
health are closely linked. Health is closely related to access to safe
water, something that 1.1 billion people lack. Waterborne diseases
claim more than 3 million lives each year, mostly as a result of
dysentery and cholera. These and other waterborne diseases take their
heaviest toll among children. Infant mortality in affluent societies
averages 8 per 1,000 live births; in the 50 poorest countries, it
averages 97 per 1,000—nearly 13 times as high.
The poor and uneducated often do not understand the
mechanisms of
infectious disease transfer and thus fail to take steps to protect
themselves. In addition, those with immune systems weakened by hunger
are more vulnerable to common infectious diseases. Poverty also means
children are often not vaccinated for routine infectious diseases, even
though the cost may be just pennies per child.
The connection between poverty and disease is strong, but it has been broken for most of humanity by economic development. The challenge now is to break this link for that remaining minority who do not have access to safe water, vaccines, education, and basic health care.
Hunger is the most visible face of poverty. The
U.N. Food and
Agriculture Organization estimates that 852 million of the world’s
people are chronically hungry. They are not getting enough food to
achieve full physical and mental development and to maintain adequate
levels of physical activity.
The majority of the underfed and underweight are
concentrated in the
Indian subcontinent and sub-Saharan Africa—regions that contain 1.4
billion and 750 million people, respectively. Twenty-five years ago,
the nutritional status of Asia’s population giants, India and China,
was similar, but since then China has eliminated most of its hunger,
whereas India has made limited progress. During this last
quarter-century, China has accelerated the shift to smaller families.
While gains in food production in India during this period were
absorbed largely by population growth, those in China went mostly to
raising individual consumption.
Malnutrition takes its heaviest toll among the
young, who are most
vulnerable during their rapid physical and mental development. In both
India and Bangladesh, almost half of all children under five are
underweight and malnourished. In Ethiopia, 47 percent of children are
undernourished, while in Nigeria the figure is 31 percent—and these are
two of Africa’s most populous countries.
Although it is not surprising that those who are
underfed and
underweight are concentrated in developing countries, it is perhaps
surprising that most of them live in rural communities. More often than
not, the undernourished are either landless or they live on plots of
land so small that they are effectively landless. Those who live on the
well-watered plains are usually better nourished. It is those who live
on marginal land—land that is steeply sloping or semiarid—who are
hungry.